tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Seattle via Atlanta: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:20 MSY → 07:53 ATL
    DL 1547 · Delta · 1h 33m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 13:38 SEA
    DL 648 · Delta · 5h 28m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 18mMSY 05:20 to SEA 13:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.