tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 05:20 MSY → 07:53 ATL
    DL 1547 · Delta · 1h 33m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:03 ATL → 11:40 TPA
    F9 3782 · Frontier · 1h 37m · 72% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 20mMSY 05:20 to TPA 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.