tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 17:19 RDU → 18:51 ATL
    DL 1550 · Delta · 1h 34m · 83% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 ATL → 22:17 MDW
    DL 1076 · Delta · 2h 02m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 58mRDU 17:19 to MDW 22:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.