tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rapid City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:36 ORD → 10:15 MSP
    DL 1554 · Delta · 1h 39m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:31 MSP → 14:19 RAP
    DL 3967 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 48m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 43mORD 08:36 to RAP 14:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.