tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Chattanooga via Detroit: arrives on time 65%

  1. 09:39 DCA → 11:14 DTW
    DL 1558 · Delta · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 DTW → 14:14 CHA
    DL 5117 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 49m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 35mDCA 09:39 to CHA 14:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.