tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Traverse City via Washington: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:05 DTW → 08:37 DCA
    DL 1558 · Delta · 1h 32m · 81% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:20 DCA → 13:27 TVC
    AA 4138 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 07m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 22mDTW 07:05 to TVC 13:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.