tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 84%

  1. 13:00 ORD → 15:43 SEA
    DL 1564 · Delta · 4h 43m · 65% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 SEA → 22:30 SNA
    DL 3932 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip11h 30mORD 13:00 to SNA 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.