tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 79%

  1. 13:00 ORD → 15:43 SEA
    DL 1564 · Delta · 4h 43m · 65% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 SEA → 20:12 SJC
    DL 4100 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 22m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 12mORD 13:00 to SJC 20:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.