tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Jacksonville via Detroit: arrives on time 81%

  1. 23:04 PHX → 05:46 DTW
    DL 1566 · Delta · 3h 42m · 77% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:29 DTW → 10:49 JAX +1 day
    DL 2333 · Delta · 2h 20m · 89% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 45mPHX 23:04 to JAX 10:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.