tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Milwaukee via Detroit: arrives on time 88%

  1. 23:04 PHX → 05:46 DTW
    DL 1566 · Delta · 3h 42m · 77% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 DTW → 08:51 MKE +1 day
    DL 3191 · Delta · 1h 16m · 96% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip7h 47mPHX 23:04 to MKE 08:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.