tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Madison via Detroit: arrives on time 85%

  1. 23:04 PHX → 05:46 DTW
    DL 1566 · Delta · 3h 42m · 77% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 DTW → 08:50 MSN +1 day
    DL 3671 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 46mPHX 23:04 to MSN 08:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.