tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Jose via Minneapolis: arrives on time 60%

  1. 12:27 ORD → 14:10 MSP
    DL 1567 · Delta · 1h 43m · 67% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 4h 20m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 MSP → 20:35 SJC
    DL 2087 · Delta · 4h 07m · 68% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 215 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 20m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip10h 10mORD 12:27 to SJC 20:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.