tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Seattle via Minneapolis: arrives on time 48%

  1. 12:27 ORD → 14:10 MSP
    DL 1567 · Delta · 1h 43m · 67% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 MSP → 17:00 SEA
    DL 877 · Delta · 3h 45m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 33mORD 12:27 to SEA 17:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.