tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Hebron via Seattle: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:59 PHX → 10:05 SEA
    DL 1570 · Delta · 3h 06m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 SEA → 19:09 CVG
    DL 558 · Delta · 4h 24m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 10mPHX 06:59 to CVG 19:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.