tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:59 PHX → 10:05 SEA
    DL 1570 · Delta · 3h 06m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 SEA → 17:37 MSP
    DL 941 · Delta · 3h 31m · 88% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 37mPHX 06:59 to MSP 17:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.