tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Bozeman via Seattle: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:59 PHX → 10:05 SEA
    DL 1570 · Delta · 3h 06m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 SEA → 14:35 BZN
    DL 4104 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 84% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 41mPHX 06:59 to BZN 14:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.