tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 14:43 IAH → 17:54 ATL
    DL 1572 · Delta · 2h 13m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:42 ATL → 21:28 JFK
    DL 2398 · Delta · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 45mIAH 14:43 to JFK 21:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.