tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sacramento via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 14:43 IAH → 17:54 ATL
    DL 1572 · Delta · 2h 13m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 ATL → 22:54 SMF
    DL 682 · Delta · 4h 55m · 82% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 10h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip10h 11mIAH 14:43 to SMF 22:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.