tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Burbank via Portland: arrives on time 84%

  1. 08:30 JFK → 11:34 PDX
    DL 1574 · Delta · 6h 04m · 87% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:55 PDX → 17:13 BUR
    AS 1386 · Alaska · 2h 18m · 87% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip11h 43mJFK 08:30 to BUR 17:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.