tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Jose via Portland: arrives on time 93%

  1. 08:30 JFK → 11:34 PDX
    DL 1574 · Delta · 6h 04m · 87% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 56m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:30 PDX → 16:25 SJC
    AS 3210 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 56m layover.
Arrives on time93%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip10h 55mJFK 08:30 to SJC 16:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.