tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Seattle via Portland: arrives on time 88%

  1. 08:30 JFK → 11:34 PDX
    DL 1574 · Delta · 6h 04m · 87% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:26 PDX → 16:40 SEA
    DL 4062 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 15m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip11h 11mJFK 08:30 to SEA 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.