tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Oakland via Portland: arrives on time 98%

  1. 08:30 JFK → 11:34 PDX
    DL 1574 · Delta · 6h 04m · 87% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:08 PDX → 16:55 OAK
    AS 2035 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 47m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time98%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (100%).
Total trip11h 25mJFK 08:30 to OAK 16:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.