tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Norfolk via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:00 MIA → 18:22 ATL
    DL 1579 · Delta · 2h 22m · 67% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:54 ATL → 23:44 ORF
    DL 2338 · Delta · 1h 50m · 80% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 167 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 44mMIA 16:00 to ORF 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.