tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Asheville via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 16:00 MIA → 18:22 ATL
    DL 1579 · Delta · 2h 22m · 67% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:37 ATL → 20:41 AVL
    DL 3071 · Delta · 1h 04m · 80% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 41mMIA 16:00 to AVL 20:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.