tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 67%

  1. 20:30 AUS → 21:43 LAX
    DL 1584 · Delta · 3h 19m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 LAX → 07:04 JFK +1 day
    DL 676 · Delta · 5h 19m · 81% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 34mAUS 20:30 to JFK 07:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.