tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 20:30 AUS → 21:43 LAX
    DL 1584 · Delta · 3h 19m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:55 LAX → 08:30 JFK +1 day
    DL 915 · Delta · 5h 35m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 11h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip11h 00mAUS 20:30 to JFK 08:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.