tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 10:33 BWI → 12:24 ATL
    DL 1592 · Delta · 1h 51m · 90% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:07 ATL → 15:31 SDF
    DL 3195 · Delta · 1h 24m · 79% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 58mBWI 10:33 to SDF 15:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.