tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Charlotte via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 19:57 TPA → 21:43 ATL
    DL 1594 · Delta · 1h 46m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 ATL → 23:59 CLT
    DL 3177 · Delta · 1h 18m · 84% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 02mTPA 19:57 to CLT 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.