tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:21 STL → 07:57 MSP
    DL 1597 · Delta · 1h 36m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:31 MSP → 12:16 ORD
    AA 4162 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 55mSTL 06:21 to ORD 12:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.