tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Raleigh/Durham via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 SFO → 08:30 LAX
    DL 1598 · Delta · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 LAX → 17:30 RDU
    DL 508 · Delta · 4h 55m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 30mSFO 07:00 to RDU 17:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.