tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:05 SDF → 08:34 ATL
    DL 1610 · Delta · 1h 29m · 92% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 ATL → 12:55 DTW
    DL 1240 · Delta · 1h 56m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 51mSDF 07:05 to DTW 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.