tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:05 SDF → 08:34 ATL
    DL 1610 · Delta · 1h 29m · 92% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 ATL → 13:44 LGA
    DL 467 · Delta · 2h 14m · 86% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 56m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 39mSDF 07:05 to LGA 13:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.