tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:05 SDF → 08:34 ATL
    DL 1610 · Delta · 1h 29m · 92% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 12:12 PHX
    DL 796 · Delta · 4h 02m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 07mSDF 07:05 to PHX 12:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.