tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Sacramento via Minneapolis: arrives on time 71%

  1. 16:04 MCI → 17:40 MSP
    DL 1613 · Delta · 1h 36m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 MSP → 20:37 SMF
    DL 574 · Delta · 3h 52m · 79% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 33mMCI 16:04 to SMF 20:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.