tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:15 BHM → 08:21 ATL
    DL 1618 · Delta · 1h 06m · 89% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:25 ATL → 13:00 MCO
    DL 1030 · Delta · 1h 35m · 81% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 45mBHM 06:15 to MCO 13:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.