tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:15 BHM → 08:21 ATL
    DL 1618 · Delta · 1h 06m · 89% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:14 ATL → 12:45 TPA
    DL 1099 · Delta · 1h 31m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 30mBHM 06:15 to TPA 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.