tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:15 BHM → 08:21 ATL
    DL 1618 · Delta · 1h 06m · 89% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ATL → 11:34 TPA
    DL 1587 · Delta · 1h 34m · 82% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 19mBHM 06:15 to TPA 11:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.