tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:15 BHM → 08:21 ATL
    DL 1618 · Delta · 1h 06m · 89% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 ATL → 11:08 DCA
    DL 380 · Delta · 1h 47m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 3h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip3h 52mBHM 06:15 to DCA 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.