tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:15 BHM → 08:21 ATL
    DL 1618 · Delta · 1h 06m · 89% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 ATL → 12:00 MCO
    DL 664 · Delta · 1h 35m · 85% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 45mBHM 06:15 to MCO 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.