tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 46%

  1. 17:01 ORF → 18:59 DTW
    DL 1621 · Delta · 1h 58m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 DTW → 22:16 JFK
    DL 1316 · Delta · 2h 03m · 62% on time, 6.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (6.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 12mORF 17:01 to JFK 22:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.