tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Austin via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:20 MEM → 08:44 ATL
    DL 1624 · Delta · 1h 22m · 91% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ATL → 11:04 AUS
    DL 2886 · Delta · 2h 24m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 44mMEM 06:20 to AUS 11:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.