tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:30 STL → 09:04 DTW
    DL 1626 · Delta · 1h 34m · 92% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DTW → 11:59 EWR
    DL 2577 · Delta · 1h 44m · 82% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 29mSTL 06:30 to EWR 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.