tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:30 STL → 09:04 DTW
    DL 1626 · Delta · 1h 34m · 92% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 54m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:58 DTW → 14:40 PHL
    AA 5530 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 41m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 54m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 09mSTL 06:30 to PHL 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.