tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 81%

  1. 18:43 SFO → 20:10 LAX
    DL 1629 · Delta · 1h 27m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:55 LAX → 08:30 JFK +1 day
    DL 915 · Delta · 5h 35m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 47mSFO 18:43 to JFK 08:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.