tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Sarasota/Bradenton via Miami: arrives on time 68%

  1. 17:45 ATL → 19:56 MIA
    DL 1631 · Delta · 2h 11m · 51% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Miami (MIA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:54 MIA → 23:59 SRQ
    AA 4071 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 05m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 14mATL 17:45 to SRQ 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.