tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 13:54 PNS → 16:13 ATL
    DL 1640 · Delta · 1h 19m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 ATL → 22:27 LGA
    DL 490 · Delta · 2h 27m · 63% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Pensacola). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 182 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 33mPNS 13:54 to LGA 22:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.