tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Sacramento via Minneapolis: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:15 EWR → 08:13 MSP
    DL 1641 · Delta · 2h 58m · 89% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:23 MSP → 12:11 SMF
    DL 1701 · Delta · 3h 48m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 56mEWR 06:15 to SMF 12:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.