tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Los Angeles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:15 EWR → 08:13 MSP
    DL 1641 · Delta · 2h 58m · 89% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:17 MSP → 11:10 LAX
    DL 2102 · Delta · 3h 52m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 54mEWR 06:15 to LAX 11:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.