tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Asheville via Minneapolis: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:15 EWR → 08:13 MSP
    DL 1641 · Delta · 2h 58m · 89% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:04 MSP → 12:20 AVL
    DL 2181 · Delta · 2h 20m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 09mEWR 06:15 to AVL 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.