tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → San Jose via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:15 EWR → 08:13 MSP
    DL 1641 · Delta · 2h 58m · 89% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 MSP → 12:05 SJC
    DL 2383 · Delta · 4h 00m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 50mEWR 06:15 to SJC 12:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.